India

Our coverage of Mumbai, Calcutta and Chennai is ensured by the most suitable feeder service over Singapore which connects weekly with our East South East Asia vessels.


Economic Indicator

Population 1.12 billion (2004)
GDP US$543 billion (2004)
GDP Growth Rate 8.3% (2004)
GDP Per Capita US$ 547 (2004) - GDP Per Capita (PPP) US$ 3,100
Inflation 5.2% (2004)
Total Imports US$75.2 billion (CIF, 2004)
Total Exports US$61.8 billion (FOB, 2004)
Currency Indian rupee
Exchange Rate NZ$1=28 Rupees approx.
  US$1=45 Rupees approx.
Source: RBI, CSO, MoF, Asia Monitor



Overview
Since achieving independence from the British in 1947, India has created a modern economy with a largely self-sufficient agricultural sector, diversified industry and a relatively large and sophisticated financial and service sector. With its large population and a wide diversity of market segments (high, medium and low income, rural and urban groups), India provides a potentially vast market for consumer and industrial products, particularly when access is further liberalised.

India has the world's second largest population and this is growing at the rate of 1.6% per annum. Changing demographics have implications for the country's future, with the key factors being:
  • The ageing of the population - The average age of 27.4 years gives a good indication of where the population is concentrated at the present. However, with a rapidly falling birth rate, the population bulge is moving upwards and will tend to be more in the household-forming group.
  • An improved access to education - This same group has had better education opportunities and, with that, they preface a movement from agriculture to the manufacturing and service sectors, and are therefore driving the urban shift.
  • The growing urbanisation of the population - This will create infrastructure opportunities.
The features of the current India trade policy are deregulation, simplification and transparency. With regard to imports and exports, the trend is to deregulate wherever necessary by slowly phasing out licensing restrictions and discretionary controls. Quantitative restrictions on most items have been lifted except for those items that figure in "the negative list of imports". The last remnants of the quantitative restrictions on imports were removed in April 2001. Controls through tariff mechanisms are still in place, but are expected to be reduced over time. There is a strong presence of interest groups lobbying with the government to slow down the process of India's obligation to reduce import restrictions under the WTO agreement. Most of the current high level of duties are not due to be reduced until 2006.

Indian trade policy was primarily aimed at regulating imports having regard to the development of local capability and the need to encourage domestic production through import-substitution measures. However, with the onset of liberalisation, the importance of globalisation through trade and making exports the engine of growth of the economy has been recognised.

The Indian economy is in good health, boosted in 2003/04 from better than expected monsoon rains, which had a positive effect on crops. Broad-based growth in the industrial sector is also likely to continue, led by such segments as automobiles, steel, cement, refrigerators and motorcycles. Following on from economic growth of 8% in 2003, the Reserve Bank of India was forecasting 6.5 to 7% growth for 2004. The Business Confidence Index (BCI), measured by the National Council of Applied Economic Research (NCAER), reflects this positive mood, rising to 142.8 in April 2004, 22.9 percentage points higher than in April 2003.

The Reserve Bank of India has cut interest rates to 30-year lows, while the government has reduced taxes and increased spending on infrastructure projects. All the three key sectors (agriculture, industry and services) have made positive contributions to growth during 2004. India's balance of payments moved US$ 21 billion into surplus during the first nine months of the fiscal year ending March 2004. As of 26 March 2004, India's foreign exchange reserves were worth US$ 110 billion.

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India Top Ten Exports, April 2001-March 2002 (Rupee Million)
Textiles 451,870
Gems and jewellery 348,450
Engineering goods 274,060
Chemicals and allied products 241,650
Petroleum products 101,070
Agriculture and allied products 100,920
Leather products 91,100
Marine products 58,970
Electronics and computer software 56,870
Handicrafts 44,060
Source: Department of Commerce, Govt. of India, Annual Report 2002-2003
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India Top Ten Imports, April 2001-March 2002 (Rupee Million)
Petroleum crude and products 667,690
Machinery 261,190
Pearls, precious and semi-precious stones 220,460
Electronic goods 190,700
Organic and inorganic chemicals 133,520
Edible oil 64,650
Metal ores and scrap 54,550
Coal and coke 52,610
Professional & scientific instrument 49,650
Iron and Steel 39,680
Source: Department of Commerce, Govt. of India, Annual Report 2002-2003
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New Zealand's Top Ten Exports to India, y/e Dec 2003 NZ $ million
Wool 50.3
Coal 28.7
Wood (logs) 20.4
Hides, skins and leather 17.1
Industrial and electrical machinery 10.1
Butter oil 3.2
Apples and pears 3.2
Fats of bovine animals 1.4
Lactose 1.2
Waste paper 0.9
Total 156.2
Source: Statistics New Zealand



The above information is an excerpt from the New Zealand Trade & Enterprise Country Briefs. For a more comprehensive account visit:
http://www.nzte.govt.nz

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